Thursday, May 3, 2012
FNM insiders have criticised The Tribune's exit polling yesterday stressing that exit polling, like advancing polling, can both be manipulated - particularly when voters may not in fact be telling the truth about how they had cast their ballot.
The FNM took exception to the study conducted by The Tribune of 158 voters in Tuesday's advance poll which revealed that of that number, 72 identified themselves as PLP supporters, 55 as FNM's, and 31 saying they had supported the DNA.
Additionally, PLP insiders revealed yesterday that their own exit polling showed that while their margin was "not as large as they had hoped", they were ahead of the FNM with 55 to 60 per cent of the popular vote.
The PLP, however, could not provide any document to confirm this statement.
On The Tribune's website, however, the FNM have a clear lead ahead of the PLP with 318 persons or 61.87 per cent choosing them; 122 persons or 23.74 per cent selecting the PLP; 69 persons or 13.42 per cent selecting the DNA; and five persons or .97 per cent choosing to go independent.
At the closing of our online poll, The Tribune had 514 readers respond to our question: "With the general election fast approaching, who would you vote for at this stage of the campaign season?"
Comments
Observer says...
Obviously, the online poll can only be accessed by computer or other similar electronic device. Question, who is likely to possess such apparatus, and who is more likely to respond to a poll request and who is less likely to respond to same?
Posted 3 May 2012, 3:48 p.m. Suggest removal
Philosopher_King says...
I place a little more credence on exit polling, because traditionally in developed countries it is the most accurate form of polling. It captures a person already executed actions rather than perceived future ones of those who may never get to the polls or haven't even bothered to register. It also does so right after when they can't think of giving a response based on what they believe the pollster wants. It still has the potential to give erroneous data due to the newness of it to the Bahamian voter and their distrust of the pollsters pledge of confidentiality. The online polls are income and race biased due to fact of the digital divide and should be taken merely for entertainment purposes only. Totally disregard their results because no one gets 60% of the popular vote since the ‘70s.
Posted 4 May 2012, 8:44 a.m. Suggest removal
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