Government debt issuing shake-up

By NEIL HARTNELL

Tribune Business Editor

nhartnell@tribunemedia.net

The Central Bank has regained the lead role in the issuance of domestic Government debt, amid plans for “important modernisations” in how it is priced and investor ownership tracked.

Tribune Business can reveal that a report from the Commonwealth Secretariat, which is thought to be in draft form only, has influenced the Government to take responsibility for the issuance and pricing of its domestic securities back from the private sector after just one year.

This newspaper’s financial industry contacts, speaking on condition of anonymity, disclosed that the Commonwealth Secretariat recommended that the issuance of Bahamian government debt should take place primarily via the Central Bank, rather than broker/dealers.

As a result, Tribune Business was told that the Bahamas Government Stock (BGS) and Treasury Note programmes, which were being handled by RoyalFidelity Merchant Bank & Trust, have effectively been placed ‘on hold’ for the time being.

The only activity that the Bahamas-based investment bank is currently conducting is the ‘roll over’ of existing short-term Treasury Note issues as they mature.

In contrast, the Central Bank has already placed a $30 million, 20-year Bahamas Government Registered Stock (BGRS) issue, which was fully subscribed at end-August and with all categories - individual investors, institutions and credit unions “fully allocated”.

John Rolle, the Central Bank’s governor, told Tribune Business that the regulator would be “more active than last year” when it came to the issuance and placement of the Government’s domestic debt securities.

While not commenting directly on the changes, Mr Rolle confirmed that the Commonwealth Secretariat had “provided general advice.... in terms of the approach” the Government should take.

“Even with the private bank [RoyalFidelity] managing some of the issues, there were occasional issues where the Central Bank handled things,” he told Tribune Business. “In instances where there needed to be a swift issue, the Central Bank resold it.”

Mr Rolle said several key reforms for the Government’s domestic debt market are set to be unveiled over the next year, including changes to the way bond issues (BGRS/BGS) are priced so as to obtain “the best interest rate possible” and minimise the administration’s debt servicing costs.

He added that the planned reforms also involve moving to an electronic ‘book entry’ system for recording the ownership of government debt securities, and away from the unwieldy paper-based certificates currently in use now.

“Going forward, you should expect to see some initiatives from the Government side that are focused on important modernisation of the Government’s securities,” Mr Rolle told Tribune Business.

“There are certain rules that the Central Bank has to follow in terms of making these advances. We’ve spoken for many years about moving away from paper certificates, and a lot of the issues last year would have been in book entry form.

“One of the changes that will bring innovation going forward is making sure that system is perfect for government bonds,” the Central Bank’s governor added.

“That will have a lot of other benefits for how these securities are used in other transactions; how you can use them as collateral.

“You can use them as collateral now, but it’s a more convoluted process as the certificates [proving government bond ownership] have to move about and have certain changes made to them. Whereas when we move to an electronic platform, these changes will happen much more conveniently.”

Then there is the pricing of government debt securities. “The other modernisation change that we have been focused on is the way the pricing of government debt is done in the market,” Mr Rolle told Tribune Business.

“We want to get to a state where the Government auctions issues and we get the best interest rate possible on the issue.”

Mr Rolle said the reform initiatives were likely to be announced as joint initiatives between the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank moving forward.

“I think we believe we can make some advances in this area,” he added. “I would expect that over the year some of these reforms will start to materialise. We’ll certainly be making some announcements later in the year in terms of what they start to look like; the major deliverables.”

The Government’s domestic debt market accounts for the biggest component of the Bahamian capital markets, with between $3-$4 billion in issues currently outstanding. It provides the administration with its greatest source of debt financing.

“We’ve gotten general advice from the Commonwealth Secretariat in terms of the approach,” Mr Rolle said. “We would have got comprehensive input from them in terms of the approach.

“It would have been more the kind of infrastructure we should go to, a fully functioning book entry system; the auction system, and issues relating to the control and trading of government securities, and how to track trades.”

Comments

observer2 says...

With the Central Bank taking back the full issuance and control of government bond market the "virtuous" circle is now complete and the fix is in.

Central Bank issues debt with no prospectus, no government audit --> Funds go to the General Fund -> Allows Government to consistently spend more than it receives in taxes --> No independent audits = no accountability

National Issues funds --> transferred to BoB --> Bob transfers bad loans out of sight at Resolve run by you know who

BoB - banker to the web boys --> political contributions to you know who --> no campaign finance laws = no accountability

And you are shocked that the international community has downgraded us to one level above junk. Next year we will be junk.

Posted 20 September 2016, 8:26 a.m. Suggest removal

banker says...

The key indicator to watch is the M3 money supply. M1 is the currency in circulation. There is no need to increase M1 because of the stalled economy, the excess liquidity of the banks, no one is getting loans anymore, and the business cycles are moribund.

However, the money supply as defined by M3 keeps on increasing due to government debt. The interesting thing is now with the Central Bank handling it, we won't know how much is undersubscribed. Before, Michael Anderson would give cheery pronouncements saying that it didn't go as well as planned with placing government debt in private hands, but it was "on track". Now if no one wants to buy government debt, the Central Bank can quietly Dutch auction it off to whoever wants to take it and any unsubscribed events can be paid out of General Accounts. For example the CLICO bonds are hugely unpopular. Will there be money to pay them out? Will the NIB be able to cover its $2billion unfunded liabilities? There will come a time when the borrowing tap will be shut off, and it is soon.

Seems like all they ever do, is bailout their political cronies, time and time again.

Posted 20 September 2016, 9:18 a.m. Suggest removal

observer2 says...

Banker you are correct, well said.

With the national debt increasing by $2 billion to over $7 billion under the PLP, transparency would really will be quiet inconvenient for them. So if debt can be issued without Michael Anderson chatting about it all the time, then all the better.

Also, adding in non accrued government pension liabilities of over $2 billion I think the PLP cronies are over joyed that they are all over retirement age as there certainly won't be any money for young people by the time they retire in 2050.

Don't think voting for the FNM will solve anything. The first thing the FNM will say once they take office is how "shocked they are at how broke the government is". Next the FNM will say they need to come up with a Strategic Plan to resolve the financial problems, the FNM's Strategic Plan to deal with the debt will take 2 years to produce and in they mean time they will blame the PLP while they increase the debt from $7 billion to $9 billion. By the time they leave office in 2022 the debt will be over $10 billion and we will be forced to value.

The country will then be very upset with the FNM and then re-elect the PLP...and the virtuous cycle begins again...but this time Alfred Sears, the new PLP leader, will be shocked at the $10 billion debt the FNM accrued.

Posted 20 September 2016, 9:40 a.m. Suggest removal

Well_mudda_take_sic says...

Precisely the game the revolving door of Hubbigity and Vomit led governments has played since 1992. PLP or FNM makes no difference. This is especially so now that the FNM is led by Minnis.

Posted 20 September 2016, 11:05 a.m. Suggest removal

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