Im so baffled. We keep doing this same dance every 4 months. Tourism is open again! The airport is packed with visitors! Let the tourists party (someone have to serve drinks). Oh no, look the numbers going up, someone save tourism!
"*Regarding hospitalisations, the study noted that it was likely that there could be 20 people admitted per day by March 13.*"
I could be wrong, but could they have the model incorrectly configured? This is Omicron, not delta. The Omicron cycle in South Africa was on the downside of the curve within one month..With a *peak of 20 cases per day in March*, it would mean this cycle would last 6-8 months. All of our cycles to date have been under 4 months.
well the same data that led me in April 2021 to say "something different is happening", "it started before Easter holiday", "people are dropping like flies"... this is delta
Today: "something different is happening", "people are testing positive but no like increase in hospitalizations"... this is omicron.
Sure numbers will go up because more people are testing. But nowhere in the world (including locally) have you seem a equal rate of hospitalizations and deaths. The case numbers at this point have very little meaning in terms of health implications. The danger is all economic so far. The data is already there, you just have to interpret it
Also imagine a scenario where the food assembly line is disrupted "again" due to staff infections. May not happen, alot depends on how long this cycle lasts
cnn.com "***leading expert who helped create the Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine said Tuesday** that giving everyone in the world booster shots multiple times a year is not feasible.*
"*We can't vaccinate the planet every four to six months. It's not sustainable or affordable," Professor Andrew Pollard, the director of the Oxford Vaccine Group and head of the UK's Committee on Vaccination and Immunization, told The Daily Telegraph in an interview published Tuesday.*
*Pollard **also stressed the "need to target the vulnerable" going forward, rather than administering doses to everyone age 12 and older. More data is needed to ascertain "whether, when and how often those who are vulnerable will need additional doses,"** he said.*
This is absolutely incredible. We said this 2 years ago(maybe a year how long these vaccines been out?). If we could figure this out by looking at data, not guessing, looking at DATA, why did we force tens of thousands to vaccinate unnecessarily???
ThisIsOurs says...
everbody gat a heart too. Why didnt you use the old everybody gat a heart analogy? Nevermind I just remember Minnis...
On Dire predictions of how bad it could be
Posted 5 January 2022, 3:22 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
Melda who makin wedding plan?
On Dire predictions of how bad it could be
Posted 5 January 2022, 3:02 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
Im so baffled. We keep doing this same dance every 4 months. Tourism is open again! The airport is packed with visitors! Let the tourists party (someone have to serve drinks). Oh no, look the numbers going up, someone save tourism!
What am I missing?
On Worker shortage fears on Omicron explosion
Posted 5 January 2022, 2:56 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
You have to give them credit, they corrected it quickly.
On Two rescued after plane crash in Berry Islands
Posted 5 January 2022, 2:51 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
"*Regarding hospitalisations, the study noted that it was likely that there could be 20 people admitted per day by March 13.*"
I could be wrong, but could they have the model incorrectly configured? This is Omicron, not delta. The Omicron cycle in South Africa was on the downside of the curve within one month..With a *peak of 20 cases per day in March*, it would mean this cycle would last 6-8 months. All of our cycles to date have been under 4 months.
On Dire predictions of how bad it could be
Posted 5 January 2022, 10:51 a.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
well the same data that led me in April 2021 to say "something different is happening", "it started before Easter holiday", "people are dropping like flies"... this is delta
Today:
"something different is happening", "people are testing positive but no like increase in hospitalizations"... this is omicron.
On EXPLOSION: Staggering 1000 cases in two days with Omicron now running rampant
Posted 4 January 2022, 8:37 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
Sure numbers will go up because more people are testing. But nowhere in the world (including locally) have you seem a equal rate of hospitalizations and deaths. The case numbers at this point have very little meaning in terms of health implications. The danger is all economic so far. The data is already there, you just have to interpret it
On EXPLOSION: Staggering 1000 cases in two days with Omicron now running rampant
Posted 4 January 2022, 6:23 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
"we" said this
On EXPLOSION: Staggering 1000 cases in two days with Omicron now running rampant
Posted 4 January 2022, 4:14 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
Also imagine a scenario where the food assembly line is disrupted "again" due to staff infections. May not happen, alot depends on how long this cycle lasts
On EXPLOSION: Staggering 1000 cases in two days with Omicron now running rampant
Posted 4 January 2022, 3:16 p.m. Suggest removal
ThisIsOurs says...
cnn.com "***leading expert who helped create the Oxford-AstraZeneca Covid-19 vaccine said Tuesday** that giving everyone in the world booster shots multiple times a year is not feasible.*
"*We can't vaccinate the planet every four to six months. It's not sustainable or affordable," Professor Andrew Pollard, the director of the Oxford Vaccine Group and head of the UK's Committee on Vaccination and Immunization, told The Daily Telegraph in an interview published Tuesday.*
*Pollard **also stressed the "need to target the vulnerable" going forward, rather than administering doses to everyone age 12 and older. More data is needed to ascertain "whether, when and how often those who are vulnerable will need additional doses,"** he said.*
This is absolutely incredible. We said this 2 years ago(maybe a year how long these vaccines been out?). If we could figure this out by looking at data, not guessing, looking at DATA, why did we force tens of thousands to vaccinate unnecessarily???
On EXPLOSION: Staggering 1000 cases in two days with Omicron now running rampant
Posted 4 January 2022, 2:54 p.m. Suggest removal