PhellP sold their soul to the devil for numbers money. The play with Sebas is so clear even Stevie Wonder could see it.

Tbh idk why PhellP even bothering with Abaco because Central and South is lock for Jeremy, that seat going PhellP last time was a fluke when looking at the voting record and even the Dundas gerrymander isn't going to be able to save them because a lot of people with no love for the FNM are going to support Jeremy. The only wild card for them is the North where things get very tricky with the vote split. Bootle is a strong candidate, Cay is a strong third party candidate and pulled 20% last time, and Forbes had a lot of support for the FNM nomination. The PhellP was obviously afraid of Cay winning at the vote split hence the gerrymander of Dundas into Central and South (those two PDs were some of his strongest) but there was a lot of PhellP votes in there as well. Kirk might get lucky in the vote split but really it's likely FNM carries it imo because losing Dundas and Murphy hurt Kirk and Cay more than they do Bootle.

Your sarcasm going way over the heads of most people here lol.

Sadly so many Bahamians are still ignorant of how mobsters work, wipe that bill now and charge back triple after election. These politicians really think we fool.

We have to ask these questions as this situation involves the public service, this isn't a private company's money on the line. Like a lot of Bahamians I studied and worked overseas for a portion of my life before returning and the company I worked for did not pay to house me, I had to pay for my own housing out of my salary. I know of similar situations that occur with private companies bringing in foreign nationals and covering their housing while Bahamians have to pay rent/mortgage out of their salary and I absolutely support Bahamians who raise hell about it in that situation too. There really is no excuse for it and it's not standard in the rest of the world. In any case this is just bad optics and there's no way Bahamians that are struggling to pay rent or mortgage are ever going to accept and overlook something like this.

- Bahamians constantly complain about the poor quality of the governance from the phellp and fnm
- In comes a new third party with fresh ideas that can actually run candidates for every seat
- Bahamians trash that party and find every possible fault with it.

Make it make sense. Like I get there's a lot to be desired with the current state of the political scene but my God beggars can't be choosers. Either you want another 5 years of the same old hopes and dreams or we can take a chance to try something different. There's no other options.

Ok and what is going to happen if the PhellP or FNM win another 5 year term? We will be sitting here talking about the same problems again with literally nothing to show for it. As the situation currently stands these parties have zero incentive to provide good governance because even if they completely stink it up for 5 years all they have to do is sit in opposition for another 5 to get their turn again to juice what they can from government. Add a third party into the mix and suddenly now they cant sit on their backside and treat government like a given anymore, even now Lincoln has brought a lot of light to issues like immigration that they have been forced to at least talk about. This country absolutely needs a third party for any serious reform to ever take place and for all of it's blemishes the CoI provides the best chance of forcing real reform to occur in this country. There's no other way.

> At the final rally before former prime minister Hubert Ingraham’s last election--which he lost--the FNM had a massive crowd. In the event, the crowd was not a bellwether of what was to come. The FNM suffering a terrible loss.

Tbf 2012 was not that bad of a loss for the FNM, the seat total was just very lopsided due to how unrepresentative FPTP is. The popular vote total was 48-42 (compared to 2007: 49-46, 2017: 56-36 or 2021: 52-36) and quite a few of those seats were only lost because the DNA drained too many away from the FNM and gave the PHellP a plurality. Again, yet another data point in favour of ditching FPTP for a more representative system but sadly we are not politically mature enough to have that conversation.

That said it's likely the PhellP wins IMO albeit they will lose seats (obvious ones like the 2 Abacos, freetown, etc. plus its just likely that they lose at least some of the coin flip NP ones) but the FNM is disadvantaged in a few aspects 1.) the election has not even started and they are looking at possibly loosing an otherwise safe seat in Killarney depending on how the vote splits 2.) Brave has been much more shrewd and politically apt than Minnis or Christie were and has avoided angering the Bahamian public too too much like not flipping off the public on live TV or arresting homeless people for being out of their dumpster on lockdown and 3.) the PhellP has a lot of big money and names behind them and being real a significant portion of the voting public only cares about getting fried chicken rum and a marlin in a hat in exchange for their vote so that numbers money is probably going to come in clutch for them and 4.) the coalition is absolutely going to drain votes from both parties and that might put some more seats in play for them. It's still a tossup but honestly going to give the edge to the PhellP this go around, likely mid 20s seat total victory, Brave gets another term and retires at the end of it and we then we will have PM Sebas and the transformation of this country into a third world banana republic will be complete. We will just have replaced the drug lords of the 80s with the numbers boys of the 2000s.

Any Conian that votes for the PhellP or the Foreign Nationals Movement is a giant ass and I have no problem telling them that to their face. This island has been neglected since Ingraham left office almost 20 years ago now and despite legitimate concerns over one of the CoI candidates there really is no other choice if we want to do better. 5 more years of PhellP or FNM is just another 5 more years wasted with nothing improving on this island, we really need to do something different, this whole country does really. Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.

I'm sorry but why is an individual with a six figure salary in a country with zero income tax (besides NIB which is fairly small) being given a rent allowance that is larger than the salary of the vast majority of working class Bahamians? Bahamians making the average wage don't get a rent allowance and have to pay rent or mortgage directly from their salary so it really is bad optincs for someone making six figures getting to take home nearly all of that to get this level of treatment. It's not like this is foreign where a good 35-40% of that is getting taken out.

Ok but who is verifying the accuracy of these declarations? I'm sorry but do you really believe Rick Fox has a higher net worth than Sebas or even Symonette as declared years ago? Like don't get me wrong I doubt he's hurting financially but I certainly don't believe he is Sebas or Symonette rich. This is not only to focus on him but point out it's all a bunch of stage theatre not to be taken seriously.