Stats are being understated by at least by a factor of 10, with that assumption (10 times the number of infections) we are seeing infections likely around 30% of np population and thus the slow down in cases as approaching a level a herd immunity threshold on that island.
What’s interesting is when compare the ratio of confirmed cases to daily new cases across countries of similar population size you have nearly the same curve. Drops seem to hit At 30% Of population. We ve seen the same thing across islands here locally.. This seems to suggest a level of herd immunity exists far lower Than 80% and makes thing like lockdowns irrelevant possibly in even dangerous.
Record lows in Nassau... and somehow they did it without a lockdown... surprise surprise.. likely prevalence of infection - 20-30% of population...like everywhere else..let’s hope it stay this way...
Grand Bahamas had 80 cases before going into lockdown. It now has had over 600 cases.. lockdowns don t work. Zero cases isn t a strategy it’s a fools errand.
100,000 where on food bank support on average, peak 200k for a spell but basically that’s $130 per person for 12 weeks of food.. its surprising they didn t run out of food sooner...
Not true that’s the huge fallacy that started all this panic. Background immunity and population dynamics means that not one person does not infect many people. There are many cases were in a family only one person test positive the others don’t. Making the risk up definitely insure this won t go away meanwhile reality is 60% of population likely some sort cross immunity, of those that get sick 99% will have mild outcomes. Of that 1% that serious outcome most of those will recover. Those that sadly past 94% of those have 2- 3other vserious diseases killing them...
If you allergic to shellfish you carry a epi pen and avoid lobster on the menu. Same principle here...if you re at risk take precautions avoid public transport, bars, singalongs and gyms...
Exactly also interesting is that COVID has wiped out the flu - that’s right - there has been a 98% reduction in flu positive cases since March according to who s global surveillance. Conspiracy theorist will say they re counting them in covid cases... covid panic junkies will say mask and social distancing. I doubt either true - in every country a crops the world regards of mask mandates lockdowns or not flu cases drop as soon covid hits. Fascinating it’s like they cured the flu with covid (Or swopped it out). Fascinating stuff...
Agreed but at this point we know covid Is Not actually a doomsday disease. Hungers, economic collapse are bigger badder wolfs...government is being practical but optically stupid...
Super interesting read / tribune can you check out with our docs in the Bahamas how we re truly we qualifying deaths...I think the oldest COVID death in the Bahamas is 93...maybe start with that one...
whogothere says...
Stats are being understated by at least by a factor of 10, with that assumption (10 times the number of infections) we are seeing infections likely around 30% of np population and thus the slow down in cases as approaching a level a herd immunity threshold on that island.
On 24 cases of COVID-19 and two deaths on Sunday
Posted 3 November 2020, 10:04 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
What’s interesting is when compare the ratio of confirmed cases to daily new cases across countries of similar population size you have nearly the same curve. Drops seem to hit At 30% Of population. We ve seen the same thing across islands here locally.. This seems to suggest a level of herd immunity exists far lower Than 80% and makes thing like lockdowns irrelevant possibly in even dangerous.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/covi…
On 24 cases of COVID-19 and two deaths on Sunday
Posted 3 November 2020, 6:51 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Record lows in Nassau... and somehow they did it without a lockdown... surprise surprise.. likely prevalence of infection - 20-30% of population...like everywhere else..let’s hope it stay this way...
On 24 cases of COVID-19 and two deaths on Sunday
Posted 2 November 2020, 8:46 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Grand Bahamas had 80 cases before going into lockdown. It now has had over 600 cases.. lockdowns don t work. Zero cases isn t a strategy it’s a fools errand.
On Eleuthera bracing for lockdown
Posted 2 November 2020, 8:35 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
100,000 where on food bank support on average, peak 200k for a spell but basically that’s $130 per person for 12 weeks of food.. its surprising they didn t run out of food sooner...
On Gov't exhausted $14m COVID food budget in 3 months
Posted 1 November 2020, 9:36 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Not true that’s the huge fallacy that started all this panic. Background immunity and population dynamics means that not one person does not infect many people. There are many cases were in a family only one person test positive the others don’t. Making the risk up definitely insure this won t go away meanwhile reality is 60% of population likely some sort cross immunity, of those that get sick 99% will have mild outcomes. Of that 1% that serious outcome most of those will recover. Those that sadly past 94% of those have 2- 3other vserious diseases killing them...
On Govt scraps COVID-19 antigen testing for travelers upon arrival
Posted 1 November 2020, 9:31 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
If you allergic to shellfish you carry a epi pen and avoid lobster on the menu. Same principle here...if you re at risk take precautions avoid public transport, bars, singalongs and gyms...
On Govt scraps COVID-19 antigen testing for travelers upon arrival
Posted 1 November 2020, 9:24 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Exactly also interesting is that COVID has wiped out the flu - that’s right - there has been a 98% reduction in flu positive cases since March according to who s global surveillance. Conspiracy theorist will say they re counting them in covid cases... covid panic junkies will say mask and social distancing. I doubt either true - in every country a crops the world regards of mask mandates lockdowns or not flu cases drop as soon covid hits. Fascinating it’s like they cured the flu with covid (Or swopped it out). Fascinating stuff...
On Govt scraps COVID-19 antigen testing for travelers upon arrival
Posted 1 November 2020, 8:54 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Agreed but at this point we know covid Is Not actually a doomsday disease. Hungers, economic collapse are bigger badder wolfs...government is being practical but optically stupid...
On Govt scraps COVID-19 antigen testing for travelers upon arrival
Posted 1 November 2020, 8:25 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
https://alachuachronicle.com/death-cert…
Super interesting read / tribune can you check out with our docs in the Bahamas how we re truly we qualifying deaths...I think the oldest COVID death in the Bahamas is 93...maybe start with that one...
On 37 new COVID-19 cases, four more related deaths on Thursday
Posted 31 October 2020, 8 a.m. Suggest removal