We ll see what happens but my forecast (and hope) is that We would see significant decreases in new cases once Nassau hits around 5k-6k in cases - with a 10x factor of magnitude for undetected cases that would put infections 50-60k and roughly 20-30% of the population which is the threshold at which we have seen significant decreases in other hotspot across the globe. It is not an end of cases but sees a diminished increase and manageable level of infection in the community. I hope this is the case...we ll see... of course this al depends on the number of undetected cases, testing levels, and the specificity of the pcr tests...
Johnny still waiting on that evidence (any evidence) that there is a new more deadly strain of covid... because to the contrary the newer strains are in fact reported to be less deadly perhaps more infectious but the distinctions Are clinically insignificant.
Well I doubt these planes have ever had a lay off as long as this...machines like to be run...if there are more there accidents may have plausible additional externalities of COVID restrictions! Lol...but seriously planes like to be in the air, ground them too long and...
Darling, PMH operates at around 85% all the time of course they said they re full. They re basically always full yet they found space for 73 COVID beds. And Yet M’s Forbes said just last week they could convert additional halls if needed - someone spun u another yarn ;) so you have three yarns now - shortage of ventilators and that that long COVID is somehow different to flu complications or IFRs...I don t no about any conspiracy and all that - I m not one of those folks, but I know the media likes clicks and nothing sells like panic porn. The truth can be a little boring - like COVID is bad but not really really bad. Hey whatever floats your boat!! Live in fear, or expand your mind..
Tribanon I'd agree with you that the bahamas health services are a mess and FNM and PLP are to blame equally. All the more reason not to make matters worse down the line by creating a narrative that this is supposedly 'new'. PMH has always been under prepared to deal with the health needs thats not COVIDs fault but if the media and gov scare people into avoiding health services or restrict access or economically Debilitate people so that can't avoid health services this creates all the hallmarks for a CAT 5 health crisis Down the road...
The FLU does impact medical process and frequently overwhelming health facilities in the USA but Covid restrictive lockdown policies and fear mongering in the media however have made matters by limiting diagnostics for cancer and Cardiac diseases - in some cases folks are simply to fearful to get their check ups which save lives and in other cases surgeries are put off f which makes it to late to prevent death. And lastly to note there is surge in young excess death due to suicides and drug overdoes...Infact excess death is around 40k for the 25 - 40 year age bracket...
As to long COVID, this is tiny minority of infections, these people are not dying nor clogging up the health system whereas lockdown deaths are now quantified to be around 100k in US...but FLU and COLDS do have many of the same long term complications in minority of cases similar to COVID..
Bottomline is that the media mostly seems to really want to ramp up the fear for whatever reason. For months they have been yelling from the roof tops 'armageddon' but when it turns the IFR rates are the same as flu they fall silent on that fact...Long COVID is the same, most of the lingering symptoms are function of FLU and other coronavirus but without the fever pitch of media we don't think twice about them..
Are health facilities are overwhelmed? Hmmm there are 430 beds at PM, 74 are COVID, vast Of which majority are mild and stable... PMH normally runs At 85% Occupancy....now for the usa, Spain, Italy the health care system collapse quite frequently with flu...
Sorry proud but IFR are about the same...Ro is higher with COVID but ultimately it deadliness is in the ball park. Initial estimates were way off. And the world sadly panicked. The only difference is there is not an industry devoted to hunting down, reporting, and financially benefiting from flu deaths...
Well mr Minnis power corrupts and absolutely power corrupts absolutely...the irony is you powerless to do anything about the transmission of this disease...the only thing you can do at this point is make what’s left of society doesn’t go to hell in a handbag...put the kids back in school and for the love of Christ stop taking tourism for joy rides...No more lockdowns, no more curfews, allow people to move so they can get cat scans and MRIs, look yeah night clubs are bad idea, gyms aren’t t great either but don t force people to huddle in homes that just makes matters worse. Get people on the beach. Get them outdoors. Situationally this the best defense against transmission...but ultimately at this point herd immunity quickly is the only option fortunately most evidence puts that threshold at 20-40% of the population...
whogothere says...
We ll see what happens but my forecast (and hope) is that We would see significant decreases in new cases once Nassau hits around 5k-6k in cases - with a 10x factor of magnitude for undetected cases that would put infections 50-60k and roughly 20-30% of the population which is the threshold at which we have seen significant decreases in other hotspot across the globe. It is not an end of cases but sees a diminished increase and manageable level of infection in the community. I hope this is the case...we ll see... of course this al depends on the number of undetected cases, testing levels, and the specificity of the pcr tests...
On 36 new cases and four deaths
Posted 27 October 2020, 1:44 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Johnny still waiting on that evidence (any evidence) that there is a new more deadly strain of covid... because to the contrary the newer strains are in fact reported to be less deadly perhaps more infectious but the distinctions Are clinically insignificant.
On 36 new cases and four deaths
Posted 27 October 2020, 1:33 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Huh - this article says Many Planes have been mothballed...the second discusses what it takes to keep a flight grounded...
https://www.usatoday.com/picture-galler…
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cntrav…
On UPDATED: American Eagle plane skids off runway in Freeport
Posted 26 October 2020, 12:34 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Well I doubt these planes have ever had a lay off as long as this...machines like to be run...if there are more there accidents may have plausible additional externalities of COVID restrictions! Lol...but seriously planes like to be in the air, ground them too long and...
On UPDATED: American Eagle plane skids off runway in Freeport
Posted 24 October 2020, 9:47 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Darling, PMH operates at around 85% all the time of course they said they re full. They re basically always full yet they found space for 73 COVID beds. And Yet M’s Forbes said just last week they could convert additional halls if needed - someone spun u another yarn ;) so you have three yarns now - shortage of ventilators and that that long COVID is somehow different to flu complications or IFRs...I don t no about any conspiracy and all that - I m not one of those folks, but I know the media likes clicks and nothing sells like panic porn. The truth can be a little boring - like COVID is bad but not really really bad. Hey whatever floats your boat!! Live in fear, or expand your mind..
On 128 COVID-19 cases, three more deaths on Tuesday
Posted 22 October 2020, 5:12 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Tribanon I'd agree with you that the bahamas health services are a mess and FNM and PLP are to blame equally. All the more reason not to make matters worse down the line by creating a narrative that this is supposedly 'new'. PMH has always been under prepared to deal with the health needs thats not COVIDs fault but if the media and gov scare people into avoiding health services or restrict access or economically Debilitate people so that can't avoid health services this creates all the hallmarks for a CAT 5 health crisis Down the road...
On 128 COVID-19 cases, three more deaths on Tuesday
Posted 22 October 2020, 2:06 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
You ve been spun a yarn my dear. Ventilators not advised in the treatment of COVID since about April after it became clear that it was killing people.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/21/cor…
The FLU does impact medical process and frequently overwhelming health facilities in the USA but Covid restrictive lockdown policies and fear mongering in the media however have made matters by limiting diagnostics for cancer and Cardiac diseases - in some cases folks are simply to fearful to get their check ups which save lives and in other cases surgeries are put off f which makes it to late to prevent death. And lastly to note there is surge in young excess death due to suicides and drug overdoes...Infact excess death is around 40k for the 25 - 40 year age bracket...
As to long COVID, this is tiny minority of infections, these people are not dying nor clogging up the health system whereas lockdown deaths are now quantified to be around 100k in US...but FLU and COLDS do have many of the same long term complications in minority of cases similar to COVID..
Bottomline is that the media mostly seems to really want to ramp up the fear for whatever reason. For months they have been yelling from the roof tops 'armageddon' but when it turns the IFR rates are the same as flu they fall silent on that fact...Long COVID is the same, most of the lingering symptoms are function of FLU and other coronavirus but without the fever pitch of media we don't think twice about them..
https://www.health.com/condition/cold-f…
serious lung damage from flu
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-…
Heart Damage from FLU
https://www.stjohnleavenworth.com/our-s…
Brain fog
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/life/he…
Hypertension
https://www.heart.org/en/news/2018/05/0…
On 128 COVID-19 cases, three more deaths on Tuesday
Posted 22 October 2020, 1:59 p.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Are health facilities are overwhelmed? Hmmm there are 430 beds at PM, 74 are COVID, vast Of which majority are mild and stable... PMH normally runs At 85% Occupancy....now for the usa, Spain, Italy the health care system collapse quite frequently with flu...
It was 'war time' in LA in 2018 for the flu..
https://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-…
Tents set up to treat patients 2018
https://www.google.com/amp/s/time.com/5…
In England 2019
https://www.theguardian.com/society/201…
In Spain the health care system collapse almost every year..
https://www.huffingtonpost.es/2017/01/1…
https://www.elmundo.es/ciencia/2017/01/…
https://www.lasexta.com/noticias/nacion…
In lombardy
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/f…
On 128 COVID-19 cases, three more deaths on Tuesday
Posted 22 October 2020, 9:56 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Sorry proud but IFR are about the same...Ro is higher with COVID but ultimately it deadliness is in the ball park. Initial estimates were way off. And the world sadly panicked. The only difference is there is not an industry devoted to hunting down, reporting, and financially benefiting from flu deaths...
On 128 COVID-19 cases, three more deaths on Tuesday
Posted 22 October 2020, 9:43 a.m. Suggest removal
whogothere says...
Well mr Minnis power corrupts and absolutely power corrupts absolutely...the irony is you powerless to do anything about the transmission of this disease...the only thing you can do at this point is make what’s left of society doesn’t go to hell in a handbag...put the kids back in school and for the love of Christ stop taking tourism for joy rides...No more lockdowns, no more curfews, allow people to move so they can get cat scans and MRIs, look yeah night clubs are bad idea, gyms aren’t t great either but don t force people to huddle in homes that just makes matters worse. Get people on the beach. Get them outdoors. Situationally this the best defense against transmission...but ultimately at this point herd immunity quickly is the only option fortunately most evidence puts that threshold at 20-40% of the population...
On Emergency powers set to continue 'til November 30
Posted 22 October 2020, 9:36 a.m. Suggest removal