Real. It's only logical to assume that there's a significant portion that is not being detected and considering that some seats have been decided on a handful of votes in past elections the fact is it's a very real threat that can impact our elections.

Fixed elections should be very low on the list of political reforms as ultimately it's quite meaningless. What we really need is wholesale political reform that finally dumps the outdated and unrepresentative FPTP system in favour of a more representative model. Ever since 2012 between 4-8% of Bahamian voters have supported third parties and their voices have been completely unrepresented in our system of governance. The Coalition would have had 2 seats in a representative electoral system last election, the DNA 3 in 2012. Even if we aren't willing to adopt a proportional system at the very least a system of ranked choice voting is in order considering the fact that third parties are an established fact of the Bahamian political system and no MP should ever be elected with a mere plurality of votes. Sadly none of this is likely to happen because the red and yellow circus clowns will always put their own political interests (and those of their financial backers) first before those of the Bahamian people.

Not just Bahamian growth but worldwide the longer this war drags on. If this drags into summer we will be likely looking at 150 oil and that will have very adverse effects on the global economy. We are potentially heading into a severe recession simply because the American political scene is completely captured and owned by Zionists and the AIPAC lobby. It's quite embarrassing and sadly they will gladly take the rest of the world to hell with them.

Admittedly I had zero intentions of voting FNM before this news but this really has done nothing to convince me otherwise. This country is never going to improve as long as we alternate between the red and yellow circus clowns every few years.

The FNM/PLP are coping hard with the fact they have completely lost the support of a large share of every day Bahamians. In 2017 which was a high turnout election a bit over 6k votes were cast in Golden Isles, which is a bit short from 8k but do they legitimately think several thousand voters moved out of the constituency just in the span of 8 years alone? Mainstream politicians are living in a massive bubble and have no idea how many Bahamians detest them at this point.

The register should be purged on a regular basis but facts are that in 2017 Golden Isles recorded slightly over 6k votes cast. Am I supposed to really believe half the constituency moved out in the span of 8 years like a lot of FNM/PLP copers are trying to suggest or listen to my ears which hear a lot of people tell me they are sick of the BS two party system and have no motivation to vote? The establishment politicians of this country live in a giant bubble and are completely out of touch with what the average Bahamian really thinks of them.

Too many boomers are still living the era of Pindling and the UBP thinking that shit what happened decades ago is somehow relevant to what Bahamians are going through today. Once the boomers finish dying off then that is when we will see real political change in this country. All throughout the world we see parties that were formerly on the fringe make their way into government, the Coalitions time will come they just have to be patient and persevere.

Regarding your other point, I came from a family of FNM generals and was a long time supporter of the FNM. 2021 was the first time in my life I supported someone other than the FNM because of how horrid the Minnis government was. I have nothing against Pintard and even think that he's very creative and can be a good leader, but the fact is the FNM (just like the PLP) is sold out to foreign interests and doesn't give a rats backside about the common Bahamian. The Coalition is the only party that even bothers trying to care about the everyday issues the common Bahamian is facing. The way I see it is they can't be any worse than the horrid FNM and PLP governments we've had lately so may as well give them a shot.

It's very possible Cay wins in North Abaco. PLP support on Abaco is cratered and the FNMs are not happy with how the candidate selection process went. Cay pulled over 20% of the vote last time and will likely net more this go around. Cay and Lincoln are the two most likely Coalition candidates to win in the next general.

So it turned out basically the way I thought it would. Low turnout, Coalition growing in strength and spoiling the result for one of the two parties. Granted I thought the FNM could've pulled off the unlikely upset but I'm not surprised the PLP retained the seat considering it is always difficult to pull off a by election victory in opposition.

That said I think it's clear most Bahamians are disgusted with the two party process. The next election will most likely be another low turnout match of who can lose the least. Coalition is very obviously gaining strength and I will be bold enough to predict that they will replace the weaker of the two parties once the boomers still living in the era of Pindling and the UBP die off in another few cycles. Playing the political game as a third party in this country is hell and Lincoln deserves a lot of credit for building something that is not only sticking around but managing to grow. Rome wasn't built in a day and political success doesn't come overnight, all across the world we are seeing parties formerly on the fringe get ushered into government so perseverance is key. The Coalitions time will come.